The creator of the well known METR time horizon graph was recently poached by OpenAI [1], there exists intellectual/social/financial overlap between the SV AI Labs and METR, and METR needs to maintain good relations with the labs to continue these sort of collaborations so it doesn't seem too far fetched to believe their relationship may be closer to symbiotic than adversarial.
Why should I care about tech? As someone who grew up in a city, with a family that ran a business building mainframes back in the early computer days, there is nothing to romanticize.
That’s why your comment is not particularly well-received. I’ve had the exact opposite experience as you, I’ve seen overwhelming sadness and misery and depression spawned from a tech-filled life. I hardly can count the few crazy deep into tech who seem at peace simultaneously. So many people leave tech for something more meaningful is almost a meme at this point. The only defense I ever hear is “well if people would just…” but people DON’T just. They never just. They never have just, and they never will just.
In nature, this works out just fine, because there are many natural guardrails. Don’t piss off the tiger. Guardrail: it eats you. Don’t gorge on your fish pond. Guardrail: you deplete and starve.
In society, there are no guardrails because individuals can have massively outsized impacts. One man can start a construction project that depletes his pond, then deplete 40 other ponds refilling his own.
As an example, the entirety of the Disney Catalogue makes multiple references, or retellings of old Folk Tales from Europe, while also defending their "Intellectual Property" so fiercely, that they artificially extended copyright from 56 years to 96 years for corporately owned products, or the author's life and 70 years for a single author.
It used to be roughly on par with Patent expiration, but it's now almost either 100 years to almost 200.
> For instance, iirc, shipping the phone primarily with a non-Google alternative ROM means you won't get any play services on them, even if you want to have a secondary version with a standard Google ROM.
Is this wrong? Sure they have agreements but does it include "don't sell phones with alternative ROMs"?
That's just fear mongering. Absentee voting by mail has been a thing for centuries. Attempting to limit it to people who are unable to vote in person doesn't do anything to make it more secure, and is a very weak control. It's not like they're going to check up on every single person who claims to have a specific reason they can't get to the polls. Beyond that, no-excuse absentee ballots have been a thing in many states for decades. Three states have been mailing absentee ballots to every voter automatically for a decade or more. Despite this long history, there is no evidence of widespread fraud or other problems resulting from it.
Fascinating. I work in this space sort of, there's still a ton I don't understand. What is the legal space like? Are you at risk of being shut down on a dime if the FDA decides Lilly can meet demand? Are you able to compound small molecules legally like orfoglipron? Are you only going after tirzepatide, or are mono agonists too available to justify? Are you ready for the retatrutide gold rush when that gets approved?
I am Sunil, senior Ruby on Rails, React and AI developer with super happy clients from all over the world. I am open to part-time, and full-time opportunities.
The entire state of Oregon has done vote-by-mail for the past ~30 years and it seems to have gone fine for them for decades. Then again, their voting by mail wasn't being challenged by an actively hostile Federal government for much of that time.
The mean and the median wealth differences is the most striking. USA is second on mean wealth and 27th in median (just ahead of Greece). A few trillionaires pulling it up with nothing trickling back down.
Still wealthy either way but I always find it a bit jarring how skewed the US self perception is since people generally experience something closer to the median.
I am Sunil, senior Ruby on Rails, React and AI developer with super happy clients from all over the world. I am open to part-time, and full-time opportunities.
You aren't wrong - the loan itself can be secured against machinery. But you will still be forced to sign unlimited personal liability for the loan itself unless the business is already well-established and profitable in which case they'll take it out of the business instead.
If the business fails the bank will pay someone to come take the machines away then dump it at the nearest auction. If something happens to the machine no one involved cares because you eat the liability (good luck proving otherwise when you're broke).
If you dig into the stats actual startups and small businesses mostly don't use any government small business programs. The few that do get used are most often gamed by much larger companies who "contract" with RandomJoe Inc who exists only to claim to be a small business.
People like the knowledge that they are not being ripped off by the person they are interacting with. On Uber you are essentially guaranteed that you are paying the absolute max that you would accept algorithmically, and the driver is getting the absolute least they would accept to drive for. If the balance shifts in any way, someone is ripping off the person they will interact with.
Since the customer knows less about how much things should cost, they are more likely to be ripped off. People pay a 30% premium to ensure that they dont feel ripped off alone.
LLMs are very good at convincing people they are learning, because they give answers quickly and fairly accurately. But that makes them bad teachers, not better teachers. The fact that LLMs are good problem solvers is to their detriment when it comes to teaching. We don't want to solve problems in this domain, we want to slowly trickle information and build practice so students can solve problems.
I think people conflate productivity for learning. LLMs can greatly help with productivity. But... so can hiring an employee. Well, what have you learned? Nothing, you outsourced 90% of it. You decidedly learned less than if you were less productive and did it yourself.
[1] https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Zr37dY5YPRT6s56jY/thomas-kwa...